For the past few years, I’ve made many references, both in conversation and in print[1], to various “leading indicators” that I use to assess the probability of an impending recession and concurrent market downturn.  I’ve spotlighted charts on a number … Continue reading →

After my religion period, I took up with a swindler: Allardyce Meriweather. Jack Crabbe, Little Big Man I promise the immortal Meriweather may have something to do with the market.  Just have patience. Allardyce Meriweather is a character in Thomas … Continue reading →

Back in January, I posted a piece entitled The Next Bear Market.  In it, I opined that we are in a “secular bull market,”[1] but that another recession is inevitable – though probably a few years away – and now is … Continue reading →

Thanks for the Bull Market, CNBC! As many of you know, I have been a long-time critic of the various television business networks.  While they purport to provide viewers with usable information about business and investment markets, their true mission … Continue reading →

I pay almost no attention to boxing anymore, but back in the day when I eagerly awaited every epic battle between Ali and Frazier or Leonard and Duran, there was always a pre-fight analysis called the “tale of the tape.”  … Continue reading →

According to Wikipedia, Happy Days Are Here Again is a song copyrighted in 1929 by Milton Anger (music) and Jack Yellen (lyrics).  The song was recorded by Leo Reisman and His Orchestra, with Lou Levin, vocal (November, 1929).  It was … Continue reading →

“How in the world can the market be doing so well when everything in Washington seems to be a disaster?”  I’ve been asked this question many times in the past few months, and I think there are two parts to … Continue reading →

It’s hard to know what to www.instapax.com believe these days.  Did Trump campaign members conspire with Russia to help win the election?  Did Susan Rice and others in the Obama administration abuse their power to unmask the names of Trump … Continue reading →